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Emissions of methane (CH4) CC-2

Climate Change Pressure
1 Indicator definition and unit of measurement
Total anthropogenic methane (CH 4) emissions from the sectors energy, industrial processes, solvent and other product use, agriculture, land use change and forestry, and waste (as defined by IPCC [4]). Natural emissions are not accounted for in this indicator. The unit of measurement is tonnes CH 4 per year.
2 Placement in the framework
5EAP:
Chapter 5: The themes and targets of the programme, section 5.1: Climate change.
Agenda 21:
Chapter 9: Protection of the atmosphere, section 2: Conservation and management of resources for development.
International conventions and agreements:
UNFCCC (New York, 1992).
Ranking:
Core ranking: 2 (78%)
Policy Relevance: 2 (3.3)
Analytical Soundness: 2 (3.4)
Responsiveness: 5 (2.7)
Most appropriate related state indicator:
Atmospheric CH 4 concentrations, global temperature.
3 Significance
Purpose:
CH4 is a powerful greenhouse gas whose levels have already doubled. The main purpose of this indicator is to monitor total anthropogenic CH 4 emissions.
Relevance:
Although total CH 4 emissions are relatively small compared with total CO 2 emissions, the radiative forcing capacity of CH 4 is relatively large. The Global Warming Potential for CH 4 amounts to 21 assuming a 100 year time horizon [5].
See also item 3. Relevance of the Methodology sheet for CO 2.
Linkages to other pressure indicators:
The indicator is linked to the indicators of other greenhouse gases. Furthermore, the indicator is linked with those in the area of Ozone Depletion. CH 4 emissions are believed to affect stratospheric ozone depletion, see item 3. Linkages to other pressure indicators of the methodology sheet for CH 4 in the Ozone Depletion section (OD-8).
Moreover, ozone is also a greenhouse gas, and therefore changes in stratospheric ozone should be considered in assessing climate change.
Targets:
The current target for industrialised countries is to aim at returning emissions to 1990 levels in the year 2000. Current commitments of EU Member States add up to a 10% reduction of CO 2, CH 4 and N 2O emissions [6] by 2010 (reference year 1990). The EU target for VOCs (note that this includes methane) amounts to a 10% reduction of man-made emissions in 1996 and a 30% reduction (1990 level) in 1999.
4 Methodological description and underlying definitions
Underlying definitions and concepts:
The main sources of CH 4 are agriculture (mainly flooded rice paddies and livestock), waste dumps, coal mining and natural gas production and transportation. CH 4 is besides a direct greenhouse gas also a precursor of tropospheric ozone and stratospheric water vapour.
Measurement methods:
The 1996 “Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories” have been formally adopted by the IPCC as the international method to estimate emissions.
Limitations of the indicator:
None. Data is available in standardised formats and using internationally agreed methodologies.
Alternative definitions:
An aggregated indicator for CO 2, CH 4, and N 2O emissions based on their Global Warming Potential.


[4] Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
[5] Including indirect effects of tropospheric ozone production and stratospheric water vapour production. IPCC second assessment report, 1996.
[6] Weighted total, using Global Warming Potentials with a 100 year time-horizon.

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